Will we live to see the start of the Singapore Democratic Workers’ Party?
It has only been a week since the end of the 2015 General Election (11 Sept), but Dr Chee Soon Juan, Secretary- General of the Singapore Democratic Party (SDP), is already planning his opposition strategy for the next General Election set to be held by 2020.
Last Sunday (13 September), Dr Chee wrote on Facebook that he is open to the option of working together with the Workers’ Party (WP) to “present a more coordinated opposition strategy”.
While the possibility of a coalition between the Rockets and the Hammer is still in the air, MustShareNews analyses the prospects of this framework, and we are very excited.
1. Greater pool of talents in one team
The amalgamation of the two biggest — and perhaps most credible — opposition parties in town will allow an opposition alliance to finally accumulate a greater pool of talent in a single team.
In the 2015 General Election, both parties arguably dominated the Opposition slate with the best speakers in Dr Paul Tambyah and Chee Soon Juan from the SDP, and Leon Perera and Sylvia Lim from the WP.
But politics is not just about wowing the crowds with flowery speeches — qualifications also count.
And a Singapore Democratic Party and Workers’ Party Alliance (we’ll just name this hypothetical party the SDWP) may actually enable both parties to field very qualified teams.
Based on the 2015 General Election, both parties boast a total of 6 Lawyers, 2 Engineers, 4 Lecturers, 2 Chief Executive Officers, 4 Directors, 3 Accountants, and a Doctor.
In view of the next General Election, attracting talented candidates will be much easier for both parties if they merged. The SDWP may be strong enough to actually legitimately challenge the People’s Action Party (PAP) for something more than “checks and balances” or promise to “work with the PAP“.
2. Alliance can render other opposition parties irrelevant
If the SDWP does pan out, the newly merged party will be able to attract a bulk of talented candidates looking to join an opposition party.
Faced with a dearth of talent, other opposition parties may be forced out of the political race in Singapore.
A direct SDWP vs PAP battle may result……
….. and that could exactly be what Workers’ Party Chairwoman, Sylvia Lim be hoping for.
Last Saturday (12 Sept), Ms Lim had reflected on the GE results and opinionated to the media that the all-out contest by the various Opposition parties in Singapore could have backfired.
She explained that there was “a perception that the opposition movement is growing strong, and there could have been a pushback on that, because people still feel comfortable with the PAP as a government”.
In other words, the Opposition strategy of contesting all seats could have prompted undecided voters to opt for PAP, out of fear that the PAP could lose power.
Game theory in action
This can be illustrated using the game theory in a very simple manner —
Both Ahmad and Xiao Ming are “middle ground voters” who may agree with some Opposition policies, but maintain that PAP should ultimately form the next Government of Singapore.
Due to the strong and seemingly popular opposition movement, both Ahmad and Xiao Ming think that there is a high likelihood that the other person will not vote for the PAP.
Both Ahmad and Xiao Ming thus face the possibility that there is a chance that PAP may NOT form the next Government.
According to Ms Lim, this train of thought could have led to PAP enjoying a 9% national swing.
SDWP can avoid this scenario at the next General Election by rendering other opposition parties irrelevant by monopolising talented candidates.
The hypothetical party can then selectively contest in constituencies which they are confident of winning, while allowing walkovers in the other constituencies; thereby ensuring middle ground voters that the PAP is at least able to form a simple-majority government.
With the knowledge that PAP already has a simple majority to form a government, the “by-election effect” may come into play — where middle ground voters support the idea of voting for the Opposition without worrying that the PAP may fall out of power.
3. Combining brain with heart
The SDWP will also bring the two biggest opposition figures in Singapore, Low Thia Khiang (right) and Chee Soon Juan (left), together under a single cooperative framework…..
…. and it can be akin to combining the brain with the heart.
Low Thia Khiang has been the Secretary-General of WP since 2001, been in Parliament as an Opposition for 24 years and counting, and he has succeeded where even legendary Chiam See Tong failed — to lead his WP team in capturing a Group Representation Constituency (GRC) while retaining his “home” Single Member Constituency.
Mr Low’s track record alone proves that he is a brilliant politician.
Mr Low is also now among the first Opposition members to successfully defend a GRC in Aljunied.
On the other hand, Chee Soon Juan is an Opposition member with a big heart.
Dr Chee has been tirelessly fighting for his democratic ideals in Singapore for 25 years.
He has been jeered at, sued, jailed, and bankrupted along the way, but the passionate politician continues the fight.
In one of his most notable election rally speech, Dr Chee showed Singapore exactly where his heart belongs —
20:07 – 21:13
You know, many people have said to me, “Dr Chee, why don’t you just leave the country for somewhere else? With your qualifications, you can find a job elsewhere, and live comfortably with your family.”
I have never considered that, not even for a moment.
Because if I leave, there will be one less voice to speak up for Singaporeans. If I leave, there will be one less citizen to fight for democracy. If I leave, the PAP wins, and if the PAP wins, the people lose.
No, I cannot leave, I will not leave.
This is my home, I know of no other.
I was born Singaporean, I was raised Singaporean, and I will die Singaporean.
– Dr Chee Soon Juan
Brain + Heart
The cooperation of Low Thia Khiang and Chee Soon Juan will present PAP with a challenge stronger than any they have faced before.
4. Two pronged attack with a single mind
Traditionally, the Workers’ Party has been the Opposition of the East, whereas the Singapore Democratic Party mainly focuses their campaigns on the West of Singapore.
SDWP can allow both parties to carry out their campaigns in a concerted manner where both parties can potentially trap the PAP in the middle as they approach from both sides of the island.
Why does this matter?
With a political war not being a physical one, how does the physical position of SDWP benefit?
A concerted cooperation will allow SDWP to project their presence on both sides of the island — just like how Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong projected his presence
everywhere during the General Election —
5. Greater pool of resources
It’s not cheap to run an election campaign in Singapore.
Although there is no detailed research on the cost of running an electoral campaign in Singapore, the fact that the electoral deposit costs SGD$14,500, and that a campaign at a GRC with 100,000 voters can cost up to nearly SGD$400,000 (a spending of SGD$4 is allowed per voter in each constituency), shows that running an proper election campaign in Singapore can be expensive.
In economic sense, the alliance may translate to more efficient allocation of resources for both parties in their campaign. SDWP can also tap on greater economies of scale that usually accompany bigger party units.
6. Balancing the negatives
Despite their iconic statutes, both parties are also beset by their own weakness.
WP has consistently been criticised for not having a stand and “flip-flopping” on important issues in the Parliament. PAP Secretary-General and Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong once swiped WP for being low profile in Parliament but turning into “tigers and heroes” come election.
In case you missed it, the WP’s ideology is also actually relatively similar to the PAP’s.
In 2012, despite criticising the high Minister salaries a year before at the 2011 General Election, the WP had shifted their position to be almost in line with the PAP.
If the WP is a party without any fixed ideology, SDP belongs to the other extreme. SDP may actually be too idealistic.
At the 2015 General Election, the SDP pushed for liberal and idealistic policies like free healthcare, free education, higher taxes on the higher income, cut in military spending, minimum wages, freedom of speech, and the like.
As nice as these policies may sound, they may not be workable in reality as Deputy Prime Minister Tharman Shanmugaratnam had helpfully pointed out during the election, and judging the results of the 2015 General Election, Singaporeans may not be buying it either.
No Ideology + Too Idealistic
SDWP may combine both extremes and lead to an average centralist view, as both SDP and WP strive to meet a common ground for their ideologies that may actually appeal to Singaporeans.
However, this could also be where the party will crumble, as the gap in ideologies may prove a bridge too far. Keep in mind that a chief reason for Singapore’s relatively large number of opposition parties is because nobody can see eye to eye.
7. Finally being big enough to challenge the PAP
In recent years, Opposition parties in Singapore has been facing the problem of not being big enough to be able to contest enough seats that may allow them to directly challenge the PAP to form a Government.
At GE2015, WP only had enough candidates to contest for 28 seats. Even if we assume that they won every seat, WP will only be able to control 31.46% of the Parliament.
SDP on the other hand, was only able to contest 11 seats, which translates to a mere 12.36% of the Parliament.
In both scenarios, the People’s Action Party still controls 2/3 of the Parliament (assuming that the PAP wins the rest of the seats).
However, SDWP would have challenged for 39 seats at GE2015. If SDWP won all contested seats, PAP will still have a simple majority in the Parliament, but will be deprived of a 2/3 majority for the first time since 1959.
Well, sometimes, unity is strength —
Is this really possible?
Is this a prospect that Singaporeans can relish before the next General Election? Well possibly….
Despite never being publicly photographed together, if Low Thia Khiang and Chee Soon Juan do cooperate, it will not be the first time two high profile Singaporean opposition members join hands to take on the PAP.
Chiam See Tong, then Secretary-General of the Singapore Democratic Party, joined Joshua Benjamin Jeyaretnam, then Secretary-General of the Workers Party, in a debate on the elected presidential system against the PAP.
30 years on, the new Secretary-Generals of the SDP and WP may be joining hands once again on a larger scale.
Having said so much, it is easy to assume that the SDP – WP Alliance may be beneficial. However I should warn that SDWP will definitely face it’s fair share of challenges as well, but that belongs to another article.
Although the prospect of SDWP may sound exciting for some of us, the idea probably won’t go down well with someone —
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Featured image via edmundkhor, obiwan88
With references from Channel News Asia, Asia One, Asia One, Today Online, Today Online, The Straits Times, The Straits Times, YouTube, Electoral Department of Singapore